Telegram Notes: AI Slop Analyzes TON Strategy and Demonstrates Shortcomings

January 1, 2026

green-dino_thumb_thumb[3]Another dinobaby post. No AI unless it is an image. This dinobaby is not Grandma Moses, just Grandpa Arnold.

If you want to get a glimpse of AI financial analysis, navigate to “My Take on TON Strategy’s NASDAQ Listing Warning.” The video is ascribed to Corporate Decoder. But there is no “my” in the old-fashioned humanoid sense. Click on the “more” link in the YouTube video, and you will see this statement:

image

The highlight points to the phrase, “All videos are AI generated…”

The six minute video does not point out some of the interesting facets of the Telegram / TON Foundation inspired “beep beep zoom” approach to getting a “rules observing listing” on the US NASDAQ. Yep, beep beep. Road Runner inspired public lists with an alleged decade of history. I find this fascinating.

The video calls attention to superficial aspects of the beep beep Road Runner company spun up in a matter of weeks in late 2025. The company is TON Strategy captained by Manny Stotz, formerly the president or CEO or temporary top dog at the TON Foundation. That’s the outfit Pavel Durov thought would be a great way to convert GRAMcoin into TONcoin, gift the Foundation with the TON blockchain technology, and allow the Foundation to handle the marketing. (Telegram itself does not marketing except leverage the image of Pavel Durov, the self-proclaimed GOAT of Russian technology culture. In addition to being the GOAT, Mr. Durov is reporting to his nanny in the French judiciary as he awaits a criminal trial on nine or ten serious offenses. But who is counting?

What’s the AI video do other than demonstrate that YouTube does not make easily spotted AI labels obvious.

The video does not provide any insight into some questions my team and I had about TON Strategy Company, its executive chairperson Manual “Manny” Stotz, or the $400 million plus raised to get the outfit afloat. The video does not call attention to the presence of some big, legitimate, brands in the world of crypto like Blockchain.com.

The video tries to explain that the firm is trying to become an asset outfit like Michael Saylor’s Strategy Company. But the key difference is not pointed out; that is, Mr. Saylor bet on Bitcoin. Mr. Stotz is all in on TONcoin. He believes in TONcoin. He wanted to move fast. He is going to have to work hard to overcome what might be some modest potholes as his crypto vehicle chugs along the Information Highway.

The first crack in the asphalt is the TONcoin itself. Mr. Stotz “bought” TONcoins at about a value point of $5.00. That was several weeks ago. Those same TONcoins can be had for $1.62 at about noon on December 31, 2025. Source you ask? Okay, here’s the service I consulted: https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TONUSD/

The second little dent in the road is the price of the TON Strategy Company’s NASDAQ stock. At about noon on December 31, 2025, it was going for $2.00 a share. What did the TONX stock cost in September 2025? According to Google Finance it was in the $21.00 range. Is this a problem? Probably not for Mr. Stotz because his Kingsway Capital is separate from TON Strategy Company. Plus, Kingsway Capital is separate from its “owner” Koenigsweg Holdings. Will someone care if TONX gets delisted? Yep, but I am not prepared to talk about the outfits who have an interest in Koenigsweg and Kingsway. My hunch is that a couple of these outfits may want to take a ride with Manny to talk, to share ideas, and to make sure everyone is on the same page. In Russian, Google Translate says this sequence of words might pop up during the ride: ?? ?????????, ??????

What are some questions the AI system did not address? Here are a few:

  1. How does the current market value of TONcoin affect the information in the SEC document the AI analyzed?
  2. Where do these companies fit into the TON Strategy outfit? Why the beep beep approach when two established outfits like Kingsway Capital and Koenigsweg Holdings could have handled the deal?
  3. What connections exist between the TON Foundation and Mr. Stotz? What connection does the deal have to the TON Foundation’s ardent supported, DWF Labs (a crypto market maker of repute)?
  4. Who is president of the TON Strategy Company? What is the address of the company for the SEC document? Where does Veronika Kapustina reside in the United States? Why do Rory Cutaia, Veronika Kapustina, and TON Strategy Company share a residential address in Las Vegas?
  5. What role does Sarah Olsen, a former Rockefeller financial analyst play in the company from her home, possibly in Miami, Florida?
  6. What is the Plan B if the VERB-to-TON Strategy Company continues to suffer from the down market in crypto? What will outfits like DWF Labs do? What will the TON Foundation do? What will Pavel Durov, the GOAT, do in addition to wait for the big, sluggish wheels of the French judicial system to grind forward?

The AI did not probe like an over-achieving MBA at an investment firm would do to keep her job. Nope. Hit the pause switch and use whatever the AI system generates. Good enough, right?

What does this AI generated video reveal about smart software playing the role of a human analyst? Our view is:

  1. Quick and sloppy content
  2. Failure to chase obvious managerial and financial loose ends
  3. Ignoring obvious questions about how a “sophisticated” pivot can garner two notes from Mother SEC in a couple of weeks.

Net net: AI is not ready for some types of intellectual work.

Want for more Telegram Notes’ content? More information about our Telegram-related information service in the new year.

Stephen E Arnold, January 1, 2026

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