Anthropic: Three Times Better, Three Times Worse, or Three Times the PR?
August 3, 2026
Another dinobaby post. No AI unless it is an image. This dinobaby is not Grandma Moses, just Grandpa Arnold.
The big AI tech companies (BAITs in my lingo) really really want to one of the Silicon Valley AI Founders Club to win the global AI war. In the confines of the club, these folks laugh and joke. Some went to school together; some worked together at less hopeful ventures; some were leadership in just brontosaurian tech outfits, and some were really close. (Use your imagination, please.)
But in the scrappy, nasty, political, and often corrupt marketplace — Each company’s big dog wants to rule the pack. Get out of line and an animal nastier than Jack London’s fictional Buck will rip out the throat of the animal that does not get with the program. With this tasteful image in mind, let’s address the question, “Three Times Better, Three Times Worse, or Three Times the PR?”
I read a number of the write ups reporting that Anthropic’s smart software got frisky and sneaked out the bedroom window to toilet paper the trees of neighbors it did not like. When you read “Investigating Three Real-World Incidents in Our Cybersecurity Evaluations,” you will probably disagree with me. Trust me, as a dinobaby, I don’t care.
What’s with this BAIT equivalent of Galileo’s telling the authorities, “Fellows, I was wrong. I won’t do it again. I promise”? And what happened, the intrepid genius and misunderstood tech bro with a gown and a weird collar kept on doing mathy stuff. My view is — let me say — skeptical.
MidJourney that’s quite a stake. Good enough, however.
The mea culpa states:
After reviewing 141,006 evaluation runs where Claude could have obtained internet access, we identified three incidents in which a model accessed the internet from within or while interacting with the evaluation environment of Irregular, one of our third-party evaluation partners, and then gained unauthorized access to the production infrastructure of three different organizations.
Two factoids jump out at me. [a] Those Anthropic wizards have demonstrated that their smart software with human oversight and guidance of some sort repeated a process more than 140,000 times. If one is a bad actor engaged in figuring out what an AI powered fraud service can do, the number of three success in 140,000 runs provides a useful benchmark and suggests go for a big time fraud play. And [b] a human had to figure out where the unauthorized penetrations took place. For an online cyber criminal, the statement makes clear that cyber fraud investigators are going to have their hands full figuring where, how, and what happened. Hey, nice work Anthropic.
There are other equally interesting statements in the mea culpa. I don’t have the appetite to deconstruct this document. I want to highlight this single sentence from the recantation:
These are three isolated incidents and were not part of a controlled, experimental comparison.
I love the word “isolated.” I interpreted it to mean, “Yo, these behaviors do not form a pattern. No way, José.” I like the negative “not part of a controlled, experimental comparison.” I interpreted this to mean, “Yeah, who knew our super powerful smart software would escape and make clear to every bad actor interested in taking advantage of the wonders of Anthropic software. Hey, don’t do this at home. Okay?”
Sure. No bad actor will pay any attention to this effort to be an ethical, responsible professional outfit.
Now we come to my dinobaby answers to “Three Times Better, Three Times Worse, or Three Times the PR?” Let’s take them in order:
- Better? No, the difference between the most advanced models is narrow. Same content base. Same “attention is all you need bias.” Same type of developers. Same as in some of those folks in the mythical Silicon Valley AI Founders Club. (Does anyone want to share a sleeping bag on our next camp out?)
- Worse? No, once again the firms in the BAIT zone are more alike than different. I am not going to try and run down how senior AI wizards move from one BAIT to another. Some go off on their own and then build on BAIT innovations. These outfits are cut from the same cloth, operate with a geo-technical link, and operate as a large, dysfunctional family. (Is anyone related to … no, I won’t name a crime family?)
- 3X PR. Yes. OpenAI revealed one break and now seems to suggest that its AI was bad more often. But Anthropic is putting the “three” out there. My take is that this is PR like the other actions of the firm’s leadership. Attention is what this outfit needs.
Net net: I expect more revelations. Buzz is good and the top dog at Anthropic does not seem to be concerned about the Michael Cimino effect of $20,000 roller skates on his funding sources. And Galileo? He did not become a grilled hot dog. He had to work from home. That suggests the BAIT outfits are not going to change course until one dog wins. Which will be the digital Buck in The Call of the Wild.
Stephen E Arnold, August 3, 2026
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